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Editor/Founder: Bill Smith, Ph.D. [aka: OzarkGuru & 2010 AFP National Blogger of the Year]
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One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end up being governed by your inferiors. -- Plato (429-347 BC)

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Back To The Future For the GOP

Back to The Future - Do you recall when
this former Democrat activist & rich movie
actor became the leader of the
Republican Party & a great president?
by Gary Bauer, Contributing Author: Poll Predicts A Close Contest - I am not going to comment on polls every day because there will be new polls coming out constantly from now until November 8th.

But there is a new NBC News poll out today that blows a hole in the media's narrative that Hillary Clinton will easily win. The results suggest, as of now, a very tight race.

When asked whom they would vote for if the election were held today, 48% of registered voters chose Hillary Clinton, while 45% said they would vote for Donald Trump. Notice no one has a majority, and Hillary's lead is just three points, down from five points last week. In short, looks like a toss-up.

Here are some other takeaways from the results:
  • Yes, Trump has a gender gap. Clinton is beating Trump by 15 points among female voters. You won't hear about it from the media, but Hillary has a gender gap, too. Trump is beating Hillary by 11 points among men.
  • Yes, Hillary is getting a huge percentage of the black vote -- 84%. But that's down significantly compared to the 93% that Obama won four years ago. Meanwhile, Trump is getting 9% of the black vote, significantly better than the 6% Mitt Romney won and the 4% that John McCain won.
  • Yes, Trump continues the GOP pattern of performing poorly with Hispanic voters, but his percentage (28%) is no worse than Romney's (27%). Meanwhile, Hillary has a problem with white voters -- she's losing them 53% to 39%, but you'll never hear the media making an issue of it.
  • Some pundits suggest that Trump is not appealing to independent voters. But according to this poll, "independents break for Trump 44 percent to 36 percent."
  • And what of the much-hyped divide within the GOP? According to the NBC poll, Democrats split 87%-to-8% for Hillary, while Republicans break 87%-to-7% for Trump.
Rebranding The Party - Here's an item from the NBC poll that is going to cause a lot of indigestion among Republican officials inside the Washington Beltway. As you know, Donald Trump and Speaker Paul Ryan recently held the first in a series of meetings to find common ground on conservative principles. They have quite different views on a number of issues. For example:
  • Ryan is a big supporter of multi-national trade deals. Trump based a big part of his campaign on the idea that bad trade deals are destroying America's working class.
  • Ryan believes the country is ready for "an adult conversation" on reforming entitlements like Social Security and Medicare. Trump argues that if those "reforms" mean benefit cuts that fall on the middle class, it will destroy the GOP.
  • Ryan is an advocate of more immigration. Trump has advocated a time out for immigration and wants to build a wall to stop illegal immigration. (By the way, it wasn't that long ago when Democrats demanded border security.)
Speaker Ryan and others argue that Trump is out of step with the GOP view on these issues. But there is growing evidence that indicates the grassroots is closer to Trump's views than Ryan's.

The poll asked Republicans, "Who do you trust more to lead the Republican Party?" Fifty-eight percent of respondents said Trump, while 39% said Ryan.

A recent Rasmussen poll found similar results: 47% of Republicans said the party should be "more like Trump," while 32% said it should be "more like Ryan."
-------------
Gary Bauer is a conservative family values advocate and serves as president of American Values and chairman of the Campaign for Working Families

Tags: Gary Bauer, Campaign for Working Families, Close Contest, GOP Rebranding . polls, grassroots To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service. and "Like" Facebook Page - Thanks!
Posted by Bill Smith at 4:00 PM - Post Link

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