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Blogger/Editor/Founder: Bill Smith, Ph.D. [aka: OzarkGuru & 2010 AFP National Blogger of the Year]
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One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics is that you end up being governed by your inferiors. -- Plato (429-347 BC)

Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Romney Wins Kentucky and Arkansas

Mitt Romney
Pix by Bill Smith
Today Mitt Romney picked up expected wins on two more states in Kentucky and Arkansas. Even the news services declared the results very early based on exit poling. Kentucky polls closed at 6 pm and Arkansas polls closed at 7:30 pm.

Kentucky (45 delegates - proportional primary): Mitt Romney 66.8%; Ron Paul 12.5%; Rick Santorum 8.9%; Newt Gingrich 5.9% and uncommitted 5.9%. Mitt Romney receives all 45 delegates.

Arkansas (36 delegates - proportional primary): Mitt Romney 68.3%; Ron Paul 13.5%; Rick Santorum 13.4%; Newt Gingrich 4.9%. Mitt Romney 33 delegates, 3 unassigned.

Observation: In an Arkansas very conservative "bell weather" county of Baxter County in the heart of the Ozark Mountains, Mitt Romney won with 73% of the vote for the Republicans and Barack Obama won 72% of the democrat votes cast. However, Romney received 2338 votes out of 3201 Republican votes for president and Barack Obama only received 481 votes out of 670 democrat votes cast. In 2008, Obama received 40% of the Arkansas vote losing by 20 points. If Baxter County is an indicator, in 2012 Barack Obama may lose by 40 points with democrats voting for Mitt Romney or not voting a all in the presidential race. This is clearly the reasons that the Obama campaign is skipping Arkansas and Mitt Romney will not need to invest lots of money to win Arkansas.

Romney now has 1,043 convention delegates. It takes 1,144 delegates to win the GOP nomination.

The next Big Dog primary will be on May 29 in Texas (155 delegates). Then on June 5th, New Jersey (50 delegates), New Mexico (23), South Dakota (28), Montana (25), and the last Big Dog California with 172 delegates. Nevada has the clean up spot with the final GOP primary June 26th with 28 delegates.

Tags: election 2012, Republican, primary, primaries, May 22, Arkansas, Kentucky To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service. Thanks!
Posted by Bill Smith at 8:33 PM - Post Link

1 Comments:

Anonymous Stephen R. Maloney said...

Good News Bill. Thanks !

5/23/2012  

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