Polls for GOP Presidential Candidates Murky

On Wednesday, we reported that per the Rasmussen Reports for the Republican Presidential Nomination, Fred Thompson led Rudy Giuliani by 2% but were both statistical in a dead heat. Yesterday, Angus Reid reported on a poll by Ipsos-Public Affairs released by the Associated Press which showed Giuliani 7% ahead of Thompson: Rudy Giuliani 30%; Fred Thompson 23%; John McCain 15%; Mitt Romney 10%; Mike Huckabee 4%; Ron Paul 2% all others less than 2%. We do not know the poll's validity. We did note a significant computational error in the poll's report in Sept.

The Rasmussen Reports on Friday continued to report Fred Thompson leading leading Giuliani by 2% for likely primary voters: Fred Thompson 21%; Rudy Giuliani 19%; Mitt Romney 16%; John McCain 11%; Mike Huckabee 4%;Ron Paul at 3% (see recent daily numbers). Critical is that 21% of Likely Primary Voters haven't made up their mind and are not sure how they will vote. This fact and the closeness of the top candidates means the race is still head-to-head. Giuliani’s favorable ratings among all voters fell to 44%, lowest level of the year, and 66% of Republicans. Thompson favorably is 37% of all voters and 61% of Republicans. Romney favorably by 41% of all voters and 62% of Republicans. John McCain has the highest favorability rating of 52% of all voters with .61% of Republicans but he still has the highest negative ratings within the party at 35%.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination the candidate of choice from Likely Democrat Primary Voters still remains as Hillary Clinton 42%; Barack Obama 27%; John Edwards 12%; Bill Richardson 4% (see recent daily numbers).

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Tags: Democrat, Election 2008, Fred Thompson, John Mccain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, polls, presidential candidates, Rasmussen Poll, Rasmussen Reports, Republican, Rudy Giuliani To share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service. Thanks!