News Blog for social, fiscal & national security conservatives who believe in God, family & the USA. Upholding the rights granted by God & guaranteed by the U.S. Constitution, traditional family values, "republican" principles / ideals, transparent & limited "smaller" government, free markets, lower taxes, due process of law, liberty & individual freedom. Content approval rests with the ARRA News Service Editor. Opinions are those of the authors. While varied positions are reported, beliefs & principles remain fixed. No revenue is generated for or by this "Blog" - no paid ads - no payments for articles.Fair Use Doctrine is posted & used. Blogger/Editor/Founder: Bill Smith, Ph.D. [aka: OzarkGuru & 2010 AFP National Blogger of the Year] Contact: editor@arranewsservice.com (Pub. Since July, 2006)Home PageFollow @arra
One of the penalties for refusing to participate in politics
is that you end up being governed by your inferiors. -- Plato
(429-347 BC)
Friday, September 12, 2008
Is Biden on the way out?
Update: Source Revealed - Bill Smith, ARRA Editor: Being a conservative, I am not one to latch on to political rumors. But one source I have has been right on several races this year and identified in advance of most pundits, that John McCain and Sarah Palin would be candidates on the GOP ticket. Today the source is saying that Joe Biden will resigns as the Democrat's vice-presidential candidate and that Hillary Clinton will take the position. Some source info follows:
Hillary Clinton to be named Obama's V-P candidate "I have a lifetime of experience. Sen. McCain has a lifetime of experience. Senator Obama has a speech he delivered in 2002." (Hillary Rodham Clinton) This piece is NOT copyrighted. MoveOn.Org on the Move Away from Biden? Bulletin at 10:30 ET: One of my fact-checkers just provided the following: She's a Hillaryite converted to Sarah Adoration. She's working to verify what she sent. "I just was told that MoveOn.org has pulled their Obama/Biden ads on facebook and replaced them with just a simple "Obama" ad. I can't find the sticker ad on my ad-board, I usually get it."
We have received information from sources high in the Democratic Party that, in a cynical, desperation move, Hillary Rodham Clinton will replace the hapless Joe Biden as V-P candidate on the Obama ticket. I will send out more information on this within the next hours -- and days. Hillary Clinton has said that Barack H. Obama is not qualified to be Commander-in-Chief. Presumably, he hasn't grown any more qualified in the past few weeks. As the saying now goes, "It took a Republican woman [Sarah Palin] to have the Obama Dems name a female to the ticket." What the new campaign slogan? "I'm propping up an empty suit?" "He can sleep while I stay up till 3 a.m.?"
Analysis of the coming "new" Democratic ticket: One of the key moments in this development was when Joe Biden said in NH that Hillary Clinton would have been a "better" V-P candidate than he. I have been dancing around for days on blogs saying that "Hillary is coming . . ." The "rumors" various people at Clintons4McCain and NoBama Mission had during the run-up to the Convention that Hillary didn't get the nod because "she asked for too much" were true. (Of course, with the Obama crowd, one wonders if "too much" was a promise that she wouldn't have to make coffee for The Chosen One.) Right about now, with the Obama Campaign falling like a boulder from the sky, Hillary can get (promises! promises!) just about anything.
Okay, on Biden: the one straw that broke "Joe Camel's" back was the fact that the Palin Effect is going to cost the Democrats many seats in the Congress. The Rassmussen Poll shows that the huge "generic Democrat" lead nationally in congressional races has disappeared. I believe this has been noted (and how!) by the Democrats now likely to lose their seats.
I also believe the "transfer" of V-P roles probably COULD take place as early as Monday, although it could occur somewhat later. Biden -- "health problems," you know -- will not be "sick enough" to drop out of his Senate race. He doesn't look any sicker than usual to me. He does look old and tired. He got 9,000 votes in the presidential primaries, his high-water mark in two decades of running futilely for President.
Yes, Hillary Clinton can endorse Obama, the man who labeled her a warmonger, a liar, and a racist. She can endorse the politician whom her husband claimed "played the race card" against him. Hey, friends this is today's "Obama Democrats." Nothing lost save honor and integrity.
If the above source is correct, Obama will be naming Hillary the V-P candidate. If incorrect, we will see McCain and Palin elected in November and then in 2012 we could have a historical race of two women running for President with Hillary Clinton on the top of the Dem's ticket and Sarah Palin on the top of the Republican ticket. Tags:Election 2008, Democratic Party, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Joe BidenTo share or post to your site, click on "Post Link". Please mention / link to the ARRA News Service. Thanks!
I wonder if the blogosphere buzz will prevent this from happening. Imagine how "cynical" a "ploy" it will be seen for if McCain runs an ad with Limbaugh predicting it, bloggers predicting it, and then Obama doing it.
I think Obama and his backer will do anything to get into the White House. Why is Obama's college record from Columbia sealed. If he did not have the grades to get into Harvard, then who pulled the strings to get him in, and who paid for his education? If you follow the money trail I think it will lead to who is really backing Obama.
On Thursday, September 18, 2008, Joe Biden said paying more in taxes should make us feel patriotic. Here Democratic vice presidential presidential candidate, Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., speaks at a campaign rally in Akron, Ohio, Thursday, Sept. 18, 2008.(AP Photo/Mark Duncan)
What might prompt such an act of desperation? The polls - which indicate the race is a statistical dead heat - are cause for concern, but not for panic.
This might be the reason: “Party elders also believe the Obama camp is in denial about warnings from Democratic pollsters that his true standing is 4 to 6 points lower than that in published polls because of hidden racism from voters,” wrote Tim Shipman in the London Telegraph Sunday.
“While the polling is close, I believe it is far worse than the numbers reflect given social apprehension of middle-of-the-road uncommitted respondents to appear racist by not supporting Obama,” wrote former Democratic congressional candidate Paul Hackett on the Daily Kos blog. “Thus instead of being down in Ohio by 3 or 4 points I would argue that for planning purposes the working assumption should indicate that Obama is down in Ohio by roughly 10 points.”
If this is true (and I don’t think it is), Mr. Obama is in very deep kimche. There are 12 states in which this election will be decided. Seven - Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada - were carried by President Bush in 2004. Five - Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Hampshire - were carried by Sen. John Kerry.
To win, a candidate must amass 270 electoral votes. President Bush won 286 in 2004, so Mr. McCain has 16 to play with. He could lose Iowa (7) and either Colorado (9), New Mexico (5) or Nevada (5) and still win the election.
As a practical matter, Mr. McCain can’t win unless he carries both Florida (27) and Ohio (20), but he is already leading in both states, and if Mr. Hackett is right, then they’re already out of Mr. Obama’s reach.
Also as a practical matter, Mr. Obama can’t win if he loses either Pennsylvania (21) or Michigan (17). The public polls indicate both states are tossups, but if Mr. McCain has a hidden 4 to 6 percentage point advantage, he has the lead in both. New York, New Jersey, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Washington state and New Hampshire might also switch from blue to red, while the only red state in which Mr. McCain would be behind is Iowa.
State by state polls should be taken with a grain of salt. A recent poll indicated a 20 percentage point lead for Mr. McCain in North Carolina, and a statistical tie in Virginia.
North Carolina was, on average, 3 percentage points more Republican than Virginia in the last two presidential elections. It’s inconceivable nearly 20 percentage points could be separating them now. The massive turnout at a McCain-Palin rally in one of the bluest counties in Virginia a week ago suggests the North Carolina poll may be the more accurate.
Could a “Hail Hillary” pass change the grim arithmetic facing Mr. Obama? We may find out.
Jack Kelly, a syndicated columnist, is a former Marine and Green Beret and a former deputy assistant secretary of the Air Force in the Reagan administration. He is national security writer for the Pittsburgh (Pa.) Post-Gazette.
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4 Comments:
I wonder if the blogosphere buzz will prevent this from happening. Imagine how "cynical" a "ploy" it will be seen for if McCain runs an ad with Limbaugh predicting it, bloggers predicting it, and then Obama doing it.
Good Point!
I think Obama and his backer will do anything to get into the White House. Why is Obama's college record from Columbia sealed. If he did not have the grades to get into Harvard, then who pulled the strings to get him in, and who paid for his education? If you follow the money trail I think it will lead to who is really backing Obama.
On Thursday, September 18, 2008, Joe Biden said paying more in taxes should make us feel patriotic. Here Democratic vice presidential presidential candidate, Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., speaks at a campaign rally in Akron, Ohio, Thursday, Sept. 18, 2008.(AP Photo/Mark Duncan)
What might prompt such an act of desperation? The polls - which indicate the race is a statistical dead heat - are cause for concern, but not for panic.
This might be the reason: “Party elders also believe the Obama camp is in denial about warnings from Democratic pollsters that his true standing is 4 to 6 points lower than that in published polls because of hidden racism from voters,” wrote Tim Shipman in the London Telegraph Sunday.
“While the polling is close, I believe it is far worse than the numbers reflect given social apprehension of middle-of-the-road uncommitted respondents to appear racist by not supporting Obama,” wrote former Democratic congressional candidate Paul Hackett on the Daily Kos blog. “Thus instead of being down in Ohio by 3 or 4 points I would argue that for planning purposes the working assumption should indicate that Obama is down in Ohio by roughly 10 points.”
If this is true (and I don’t think it is), Mr. Obama is in very deep kimche. There are 12 states in which this election will be decided. Seven - Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada - were carried by President Bush in 2004. Five - Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and New Hampshire - were carried by Sen. John Kerry.
To win, a candidate must amass 270 electoral votes. President Bush won 286 in 2004, so Mr. McCain has 16 to play with. He could lose Iowa (7) and either Colorado (9), New Mexico (5) or Nevada (5) and still win the election.
As a practical matter, Mr. McCain can’t win unless he carries both Florida (27) and Ohio (20), but he is already leading in both states, and if Mr. Hackett is right, then they’re already out of Mr. Obama’s reach.
Also as a practical matter, Mr. Obama can’t win if he loses either Pennsylvania (21) or Michigan (17). The public polls indicate both states are tossups, but if Mr. McCain has a hidden 4 to 6 percentage point advantage, he has the lead in both. New York, New Jersey, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Washington state and New Hampshire might also switch from blue to red, while the only red state in which Mr. McCain would be behind is Iowa.
State by state polls should be taken with a grain of salt. A recent poll indicated a 20 percentage point lead for Mr. McCain in North Carolina, and a statistical tie in Virginia.
North Carolina was, on average, 3 percentage points more Republican than Virginia in the last two presidential elections. It’s inconceivable nearly 20 percentage points could be separating them now. The massive turnout at a McCain-Palin rally in one of the bluest counties in Virginia a week ago suggests the North Carolina poll may be the more accurate.
Could a “Hail Hillary” pass change the grim arithmetic facing Mr. Obama? We may find out.
Jack Kelly, a syndicated columnist, is a former Marine and Green Beret and a former deputy assistant secretary of the Air Force in the Reagan administration. He is national security writer for the Pittsburgh (Pa.) Post-Gazette.
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