Election Day. When Finished, Somebody is Going to be Bummed
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| 2012 Debate Image Via Article |
The left is buoyed by publicly released media polls that show Obama clinging to a lead in swing states, even though the national polls are a toss-up. They have believed the narrative that voter turnout will closely approximate 2008, and if they are correct, Obama wins a second term.
The right knows that the 2008 turnout model is not going to happen, if for no other reason than conservative intensity in this election far exceeds what was seen in that low-water-mark year. Even if intensity on the left remained the same, the turnout numbers will shift due to greater participation on the right. . . .
In 2012, both sides not only expect to win, but are already measuring drapes in the White House. And it all comes down to who votes in our 50/50 America. If voters turn out like they did in 2000 or 2004, Romney is president. If voter turnout is more like 2008, Obama gets a second term.
Strange that after about a billion and a half dollars spent, it all comes down to a simple American concept — whoever gets his people to vote wins.
And on Wednesday, Nov. 7, one side or the other is going to be bitterly disappointed with no soft landing of knowing in your heart that winning was highly unlikely.
It is going to be an interesting day. . . . [Read Full Article]
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Rick Manning (twitter: @rmanning957) is the communications director for Americans for Limited Government.
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